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Dottir takes November TAZD.
skrumgaer wrote
at 9:57 AM, Thursday December 1, 2011 EST
The TAZD and baseball-style standings are explained on my Wall. At least 35 regular games played in the month are require to qualify for the monthly TAZD. Shown are Games Behind, TAZD, and player name.

GB TAZD Player
06 12178 dottir
13 11141 Emre Oguz
03 10171 masticore
00 9719 Invola
39 9539 Shevar
03 8878 OneShot7
18 8842 jona_vicente
06 8419 savif
22 8352 [Ocean]Flushed
32 8336 Mazaman
02 8224 toms
10 8170 what_up23
47 8155 jfdis
08 8113 @ata
24 8064 Az_Balu
17 7666 kostur
20 7604 L3xy
48 7603 bcmatteagles
16 7600 22-Apr
11 7427 Lady Lite
07 7406 Vollhonk
66 7294 Scabbard
26 7159 kdiceplaya!
22 6840 chaiNblade
29 6829 IFIGENIUS
17 6518 FPP
24 6504 _smile_
69 6474 Remiel
43 6441 Simmo3k
40 6411 Mercantile
12 6397 xjxaxnx
11 6328 @Toomyfriends
93 6315 franklyghost
14 6259 Bu7Ch3r
34 6214 fish28
18 6129 Free Flags
19 6043 hcdug
24 5928 kudoukun
18 5921 ovbogaert
14 5907 peter luftig
36 5658 @engr2002
49 5588 EddyB
22 5474 @MikeTamburini
31 5398 Brighty
30 5333 fearlessflyer
39 5281 Lord Death
92 5210 Loobee
35 5123 Gurgi
66 5087 barmat
21 5065 joero14
66 5054 Jily
40 5044 hatty
33 4952 longpube
32 4921 NikkeKnatterton
29 4841 scarp8
54 4794 stackshotbilly
34 4784 OviloN
66 4733 Silesia
100 4730 axlehammer
45 4623 mrb2097
47 4600 nexon
21 4582 Volvic
23 4484 beatol
33 4471 Fatman_x
25 4411 KDancer
41 4306 xXxJozefxXx
25 4289 Keeley
26 4019 euphrates7
87 4003 Rsquared
36 3917 Poker Style
48 3808 "MC"
34 3760 haloducks
41 3641 bivo
69 3261 orestis85
52 3201 greekboi
73 3179 cool g
33 2960 MNK10
57 2817 Trkz
58 2784 greenman
65 2759 These tards suck
76 2714 GreGGwar
70 2500 absolutgimlet
61 2463 Johnboat
44 2285 Kingofskillz
84 2218 DonnieScribbles
93 2208 GR3ENMAN
73 2028 CCSKAOT
94 1253 Kdot
92 1248 ji-jo

« First ‹ Previous Replies 141 - 150 of 161 Next › Last »
skrumgaer wrote
at 12:46 AM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
The number of samples is the number of games, ranging from as few as 720 to close to 6000 for the yearly TAZD.

On my wall, the discussion about the square roots is actually in chapter i, the TAPL chapter, although there is some corrupt text that makes it hard to read.
skrumgaer wrote
at 12:50 AM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
If sample size is not needed if you are using percentages instead of incidences, what do you think of my percentages for September 2008?
montecarlo wrote
at 12:51 AM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
you are NOT comparing the number of games finished in each place. you are comparing the PERCENTAGES of finishes.
skrumgaer wrote
at 12:52 AM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
I mean October 2008, it's late at night and I am getting bleary-eyed.
montecarlo wrote
at 12:54 AM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
you only played 49 games, so your sample means have not overcome the uncertainty to resemble your true means.

or maybe you tried a different style of play?

but the more games you play, the closer they will get to the true means, wherever the truth lied 3 years ago for you.
montecarlo wrote
at 12:55 AM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
wait, october 2008, as when you played only 1 game? we already went over this, you must have a statistically significant number of games before you can use the percentages to test with.
skrumgaer wrote
at 12:58 AM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
You are comparing the square of the observed and expected number of finishes divided by the expected number. That is of the order of the expected number of finishes, that goes as the number of games. If you factor out the number of games in numerator and denominator, you have the ***number of games*** times the square of the difference of the expected and observed percentage, divided by the expected percentage.

Get some sleep.
montecarlo wrote
at 1:12 AM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
no, youre comparing percentages which are dimensionless. number of 7ths divided by total number of games. numerator and denominator cancel out. percentages are by definition dimensionless.

ill get some sleep eventually, but i cant sleep on this debate.
skrumgaer wrote
at 11:27 AM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
I am not comparing percentages, I am comparing incidences. Since Ryan gives the data in form of percentages, the percentages have to be muliplied by the number of games to get the number of incidences. Since the pecentage differences are squared in the numerators but not in the denominators, when you muliply the percentages by the number of games you get the square of the number of games in the numerators and the number of games in the denominators so the total expression goes as the number of games. Suppose you have 12 percent firsts and the expected value is 10 percent. If you have played 50 games, that would be (6 minus 5) squared divided by 5 or 0.2. If you have played 100 games that would be (12 minus 10) squared divided by 10 or 0.4. So the chi square goes as the number of games. Its variance also goes as the number of games, as I have said before, so its standard deviation goes as the square root of the number of games.
CCSKAOT wrote
at 12:37 PM, Sunday December 4, 2011 EST
150
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