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Color statistics finally in
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NoTruces wrote
at 4:45 PM, Monday August 31, 2009 EDT
I have finally finished off the long anticipated color win percentage tabulation. Calculated from the last 100 games I was in, tracking where each players color finished, and awarding placement weightings accordingly (7 points for 1st... 1 point for 7th), here are the results:
Purple: 547 points Red: 411 points Teal (or whatever): 406 points Green: 397 points Brown: 389 points Blue: 353 point Yellow: 297 points So from the sample set, purple clearly wins more often and yellow loses more often. 100 samples is lots enough to say we have an issue in the dice distribution algorithm. |
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NoTruces wrote
at 5:14 PM, Tuesday September 1, 2009 EDT I recorded by column title so should still be ok. I certainly intended to follow the color order, but it looks like I got 2 backwards on the initial recording.
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NoTruces wrote
at 5:35 PM, Tuesday September 1, 2009 EDT Found another mistake. Two 3s in one entry near bottom.
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skrumgaer wrote
at 6:19 PM, Tuesday September 1, 2009 EDT Notruce:
There is a significant variation from uniform distribution. My apologies. (There is another extra 3. The two entries with extra 3's are close to each other) I decided to leave the extra 3's as they were. Here is the cumulative distribution from last to first, with totals: 16 12 13 10 17 17 15 Red 10 15 20 16 12 16 11 Green 2 1 5 15 22 27 28 Purple 29 20 13 18 7 9 4 Yellow 8 16 22 11 17 11 15 Blue 17 14 13 15 15 12 14 Brown 17 22 16 15 9 8 13 Teal 99 100 102 100 99 100 100 Total Here are the chi-squares for each color and the total: 003.04000304 Red 005.14000514 Green 057.64005764 Purple 031.60003160 Yellow 009.20000920 Blue 001.08000108 Brown 009.76000976 Teal 117.46011750 Total df=36 The upper critical value for 36 degrees of freedom is 67.98 for p = .001, so the results are highly significant. The critical value for any color is 10.645 for p = 0.10, so, as you say, purple wins more and yellow less. |
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NoTruces wrote
at 7:34 PM, Tuesday September 1, 2009 EDT Nice analysis. Ever do triple integrals? Lol.
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fishnetangel wrote
at 7:46 PM, Tuesday September 1, 2009 EDT i hate math. bottom line is?
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dasfury wrote
at 8:12 PM, Tuesday September 1, 2009 EDT nice cankles.
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NoTruces wrote
at 9:33 PM, Tuesday September 1, 2009 EDT Bottom line is this conversation has gone on too long. Just pick your color and play nice.
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Shevar wrote
at 7:32 AM, Wednesday September 2, 2009 EDT its hard to believe that the colors are treated differently by the rolling or stacking algorithms. One could prove that by tracking each colors luck percentage in addition to the presented data.
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skrumgaer wrote
at 9:17 AM, Wednesday September 2, 2009 EDT Shad says he is sitting only yellow this month. So we can check his luck stats. If they are normal, poor win percentages would have to be attributed to the restack algorithm.
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Shevar wrote
at 10:20 AM, Wednesday September 2, 2009 EDT or its a psychological effect ;)
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