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How is average luck calculated?
the gringo wrote
at 12:09 PM, Friday March 2, 2012 EST
So, I played 4 games, and stats show luck for each game as 36.9, 44.1, 41.8 and 54.3 ... which averages out to 44.28, but my "stats" page says my luck average is 52.1 ... so ... how is the system calculating that average?

Replies 1 - 4 of 4
superxchloe wrote
at 12:29 PM, Friday March 2, 2012 EST
there's usually a lag on the luck calculation- i.e. average luck doesn't insta-update whenever you finish a game. check your page again.
Thraxle wrote
at 12:41 PM, Friday March 2, 2012 EST
Nobody really knows, but here's a theory...

It has long been said that luck is calculated only on ATTACKS, with defense not counting at all. If that's the case the following model might be true for your 5 games on hand:

Game 1 - 2 attacks - 29.0% - Weighted 58.0

Game 2 - 5 attacks - 36.9% - Weighted 184.5

Game 3 - 3 attacks - 44.1% - Weighted 132.3

Game 4 - 4 attacks - 41.8% - Weighted 167.2

Game 5 - 15 attacks - 54.3% - Weighted 814.5

Total Weighted Percentage: 1,356.5
Total Attacks: 29

Luck Average: 46.8%


Now that's basing my assumptions on the number of attacks you took in each game, but the numbers I used are not outrageous.

Is this how luck is calculated here?

I really don't know, and Ryan isn't really telling us.
jurgen wrote
at 2:26 PM, Friday March 2, 2012 EST
it's defenitely based on attacks AND defends

it's also defenitely weighed on # att/def so a game with 40 rolls (both att AND def) compared to another game with only 20 att/def will have twice the impact on your avg luck%

kakku man was able to recreate the luck% for his luck stat thanks to stormlords help

the formula is in this forum somewhere (was even posted a few times), it's something like avg (50 +- half the odds of the att/def failing or winning)
jurgen wrote
at 2:28 PM, Friday March 2, 2012 EST
... so in response to Thrax, some people actually know how it works, I just keep forgetting to copy the link in my "usefull Kdice links" advisor blog

can someone bump one of those threads maybe?
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