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Cursed accounts?
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Yetihenry wrote
at 6:47 AM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST
Am I cursed on 5k?
40,557,378 AlphaQupNdown Jan 29, 6:39 AM CST 7th 0 12 % 33 : 67 44.2 % 4 38,251◆ (-2,804) 23rd 40,556,891 AlphaQupNdown Jan 29, 6:03 AM CST 2nd 1 47 % 56 : 44 48.3 % 32 36,864◆ (+1,387) 20th 40,556,637 AlphaQupNdown Jan 29, 5:38 AM CST 3rd 0 20 % 59 : 41 42.0 % 21 37,459◆ (-595) 21st 40,556,291 AlphaQupNdown Jan 29, 5:07 AM CST 7th 0 12 % 37 : 63 38.0 % 2 40,263◆ (-2,804) 21st 40,556,088 AlphaQupNdown Jan 29, 4:45 AM CST 4th 0 17 % 56 : 44 46.4 % 7 40,931◆ (-668) 15th 40,555,862 Fonias Jan 29, 4:21 AM CST 6th 0 10 % 46 : 54 42.8 % 13 44,000◆ (-3,069) 15t Not sure if that will work so luck: 44.2 48.3 42.0 38.0 46.4 42.8 6games today, average luck = 43.6% How long do curses last? Will I be able to play 5k next month or not? |
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reminder wrote
at 7:05 AM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST Did you end your membership recently?
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Yetihenry wrote
at 7:17 AM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST I've never had a membership, but I've boosted twice. If I boost will my luck change?
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reminder wrote
at 7:25 AM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST Ex members and boost users might tell you more, I've used membership only once, and when it ended, my luck miraculously dropped to ~45% on that account for almost two months.
Maybe it's just a streak of bad luck, 7 games can be a coincidence. Dying on first rounds also counts, if you die early, your luck usually is usually incredibly low. My 2 cents, play some lower tables and see how that works out. |
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Marius_1987 wrote
at 7:37 AM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST You've had shit luck indeed today, and I've had my share too, but your overall is 49.3%, and im pretty sure chloe will tell you that isnt cursed, i think the average is 49,something. 6 games isnt enough games to make any analysis other than the plain fact that they have sucked :P
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Yetihenry wrote
at 7:45 AM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST Played a 2k = 46.4
Played a 500 = 49.7% So 3.3% increase in luck per level If I play 0s I should be on 56.3% luck every game right? |
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jurgen wrote
at 8:13 AM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST http://kdice.com/discussion/topics/44802440
49,3% is normal stuff but I agree to play some 500 or 2ks to check if you really have a luck problem or not |
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Yetihenry wrote
at 9:08 AM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST I go back to 2k and guess what happens?
3 games 55 52 50.7 2nd 1st 1st +6.5k straight away It is JUST 5k! It's weird... |
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{A}Monkey SLayer wrote
at 2:27 PM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST There is nothing "weird" about this. Stop thinking you're special.
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heroine wrote
at 4:31 PM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST Henry, I´ve never beli$eved in cursed accounts but your samples and another one i know seem to be evident proof for it...
From a programmer/ owner`s point of view your reasoning makes a lot of sense too, even though I tend to believe that the prgram rather has some 'inbuilt surprise' e.g. losing +1, +2, +3 rolls more often than probability may admit... I claim to have sensed that in between the lines of ryan`s$ own postings.... perhaps also as a means of counterbalancing the pros against the amateur players as well as keeping games more open due to a lot of surprises ?! Punishing poople cancelling their membership would be too freaky though, I rather not tend to believe in that scenario |
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fiero600 wrote
at 6:40 PM, Saturday January 29, 2011 EST believe it or not, it's real
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