the 8 stacks are lazy this month (and last month): I only roll like 26 on average (should be 28 on average)

--> me not playing much this month

Lol, I just lost 8v7 three times in a row.... chance for that to happen is 3%. The other month I did it 5 times in a row. Chance for that is 0.35%... Both happening to me - no chance ;-)

I am still looking for somebody that has ever witnessed a 48 happening. Rolling 8 with an 8stack has been reported several times and has happened to me - it is possible. I think 48 is not. Random rolling is as ballanced as luck's average is 50%. Are you surprised?

Jurgen is right of course with his observation, 28 is a high roll with an 8stack, subjectively you average well below.

ive had 47
ive had 9
and ive seen an 8v2 fail,
the 9 and the 8v2 fail are connected,
and it happened in the final table of the daily acouple days back.
the 8s are lazy this month

I have collected data of thousands of attacks and these real outcomes do fit the theoretical percentages. What my stats do show is that the great majority of players fall for psychological traps, like stacking up their sixes and seves. 6v5, 7v6 etc is a lot smarter than 8v8, even if it means you lack reserves.

hippo, there are situations where stacking is smarter and there are situations where attacking before stacked have better odds of winning

But your first point is interesting. I checked some of my win% too for 8v7 and 8v8 and I score a bit below the expected value. Did you only keep track of win/loss for all those attacks? could you post some numbers?

I mean something like this: 8v7__X #watched__ Y % succesfull __Z% theoretical win%

In those thousands of rolls - how many 48 with an 8stack? It should be (1/6)^8.... 9.9E-8 something like 100 Million rolls needed, right? Well, there must have been more 8v8 in the last couple of years.

Question: how do you keep track? Write down your rolls every turn????

just decide what you can track at the same time and prepare a sheet of paper with say

8v8 8v7 and 8v6.

It's easier to note down only your own attacks since you know in advance which rolls you will do so you will never get overflooded with data and won't have to skip a few by lack of time.

Make a Win and Lose column for every type of roll you'll track and mark the result in the correct column each time, pretty simple imo.

To roughly check if you win about the number you would expect, you would need 100 rolls. To check smaller differences, you'd have to check 1000 or more.

P.S. it would be cool if someone knew how to program a tool to "track" the roll info from the game history scrollwindow so that it could automaticaly "read" the roll result data from the person you asked the tool to track the results for.

i lose a lot of 7v4 and 7v5, my 5v6s are deadly, i win them, the best roll ive seen is 2v7 and ive rolled 47 with an 8

I made a small dirty script to track rolls which i will try to run when i got the time. Will paste the results here when it's been collecting for a while.

great to hear lum!

I hope it works because I am too lazy to do it on a big scale by hand but I am so curious for the results