Forum
How is luck measured???
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g00b1 wrote
at 10:29 PM, Friday April 24, 2009 EDT
Attacks:
3v2. Lost Defences: 4v4. Lost 3v3. Lost 3v2. Lost End of game, and I get 42.5% luck. WHAT? |
Replies 1 - 6 of 6
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kam|k2 wrote
at 9:01 AM, Saturday April 25, 2009 EDT happens.
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masterDD wrote
at 11:03 AM, Saturday April 25, 2009 EDT Think u have lost a 3v2 with 4,4,4 v 6,6 rolls.That doesnt mean your luck is below the average,it means the opponents luck is way above the average for that roll.
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mr Kreuzfeld wrote
at 11:20 AM, Saturday April 25, 2009 EDT luck is only meassured on your attacks, not your defences
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kam|k2 wrote
at 11:38 AM, Saturday April 25, 2009 EDT and remember the golden rule: never listen to kreuzfeld.
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masterDD wrote
at 12:51 PM, Saturday April 25, 2009 EDT "luck is only meassured on your attacks, not your defences"
what has that got to do with what i said? |
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Fountain wrote
at 3:15 AM, Sunday April 26, 2009 EDT ive also been wondering the mathematics behind "luck". Is it weighted by stack amount? Is it calculated per dice or overall number rolled? I tend to believe there is no "weight" connected to dice which I think skews the outcome. Meaning a 2v2 attack has the same weight on luck as a 8v8, which should be incorrect. I believe luck should be calculated based on dice rolled, or its deviation from the average roll of one die of 3.5.
It may actually be calculated this way in which i give props too Ryan. It would also be able to explain the author of this posts luck. Meaning that you likely rolled a little below average. (.425)*3.5*2= 2.975. Meaning that the expected rolls for your game were: 3v2 (8.925) 4v4 (11.9) 3v3 (8.925) 3v2 (5.95) This may be poor math, if it is my mistake, I may not have the correct formula here for luck keep it mind it is 4am. Just trying to help. BTW, this simply means that your opponent would have to have better then your luck to beat you each time. Assuming 50% luck: Opponent rolls: 7 14 11.5 11.5 Meaning that he needed higher luck on his first roll to win it. Anyone pls correct me if my math is wrong but this is my understanding of it. |