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EXPLAIN THIS TO ME....
trendz wrote
at 3:04 PM, Tuesday July 6, 2010 EDT
I lost every roll that people were attacking me. Then I win 4v4 and lose 5v2, and insta flag. HOW THE FUCK IS MY LUCK 41%?

Orlafede stands up
trendz takes a seat
Trebor Notlimah takes a seat
shkurka takes a seat
EddyB takes a seat
Orlafede takes a seat
Trebor Notlimah's turn
shkurka defended 4v4, 10 to 14, (1,2,3,4 to 4,1,4,5)
EddyB defeated 4v1, 15 to 2, (4,3,5,3 to 2)
roque ja defeated 3v2, 9 to 4, (3,2,4 to 2,2)
+5 dice
shkurka's turn
EddyB defended 4v4, 12 to 16, (1,6,2,3 to 3,4,3,6)
EddyB defeated 4v4, 18 to 11, (5,5,4,4 to 2,1,5,3)
trendz defeated 3v1, 12 to 6, (1,5,6 to 6)
+6 dice
EddyB's turn
Orlafede defeated 3v2, 12 to 3, (5,6,1 to 2,1)
droppinSCIENCE defeated 2v1, 7 to 3, (3,4 to 3)
+5 dice
Orlafede's turn
Trebor Notlimah defeated 4v3, 13 to 11, (1,2,6,4 to 4,5,2)
Trebor Notlimah defeated 4v2, 14 to 8, (4,4,5,1 to 4,4)
Trebor Notlimah defeated 3v2, 10 to 8, (5,2,3 to 6,2)
Trebor Notlimah defeated 2v1, 5 to 2, (1,4 to 2)
trendz defeated 3v2, 9 to 6, (2,6,1 to 3,3)
+8 dice
droppinSCIENCE's turn
shkurka defeated 4v3, 16 to 6, (6,5,4,1 to 3,2,1)
Trebor Notlimah defeated 4v1, 14 to 6, (1,6,4,3 to 6)
shkurka defeated 3v2, 8 to 5, (3,1,4 to 4,1)
shkurka defended 3v2, 4 to 11, (1,2,1 to 6,5)
shkurka defeated 2v1, 8 to 5, (4,4 to 5)
+7 dice
roque ja's turn
droppinSCIENCE defeated 4v3, 17 to 7, (5,5,5,2 to 4,2,1)
Orlafede defeated 5v2, 15 to 7, (2,4,6,1,2 to 5,2)
droppinSCIENCE defeated 4v3, 13 to 10, (4,3,5,1 to 2,3,5)
droppinSCIENCE defeated 3v2, 11 to 3, (4,4,3 to 1,2)
shkurka defeated 3v2, 7 to 5, (3,1,3 to 3,2)
droppinSCIENCE defeated 2v1, 7 to 5, (1,6 to 5)
+8 dice
trendz's turn
shkurka defeated 4v4, 10 to 9, (2,3,2,3 to 6,1,1,1)
EddyB defended 5v2, 8 to 9, (1,1,3,2,1 to 6,3)
(-250 for 7th and -177 for dominance)
Rank: 141st Score: -427 to 2452◆.
trendz finishes 7th in round 1

35,271,346 EddyB Jul 6, 3:00 PM CDT 7th 0 8 % 50 : 50 41.3 % 1 2,879◆ (-427) 141st

« First ‹ Previous Replies 11 - 12 of 12
jurgen wrote
at 2:46 PM, Friday March 2, 2012 EST
eh, final bump I guess

but this one is really usefull since stormlord explains how the formula works by solving trendz's example:
Luck on the stat page is calculated by: (1 + average luck) / 2.

trendz defeated 3v1 = -2.7% unlucky
trendz defeated 3v2 = -22.1% unlucky
shkurka defeated 4v4 = +54% lucky
EddyB defended 5v2 = -98.8% unlucky

average luck = (-0.027 - 0.221 + 0.4 - 0.988) / 4 = -0.174

(1 -0.174) / 2 = 0.413

41.3%


So I think this one will go on my advisor blog page
greekboi wrote
at 2:27 PM, Saturday March 3, 2012 EST
stormlord is a smart dude i like his style
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